Grossman, Helu at risk? Redskins Offense Unofficial Post-Mini-Camp Roster Projections

Written by Scott Hirsch on .

Rex Grossman, Washington Redskins

QB - RG3, Cousins

Surprise cut - Rex Grossman

Rationale - though with a recovering QB you should have 3 QBs, no team is rushing to take Grossman.  You can cut him and leave him off the roster and very likely get him back when needed.  Also - Jordan Reed has college QB experience.  Maybe they can sneak Pat White onto the Practice Squad - not sure if he is eligible again.

RBs -  Morris, Thompson, Jamison  (and Darrell Young FB)

Surprise cut - Roy Helu

Rationale -  I believe Helu gets cut as he'll likely show injury after they pound him with carries during the preseason.  The Redskins are far weaker at Wide Receiver and the secondary than at RB.  Royster is already outside looking in.

Starting Offensive Line - Williams, Lichtensteiger, Montgomery, Chester, Pashos

Backups -  Compton, Gettis, LaRibeus, Polumbus.

Surprise cut - Tyler Polumbus gets cut from the starting Right Tackle position.  I also see him on the edge of getting cut from the team.

Rationale - Polumbus is a liability during pass protection.  It's hard to justify 9 O-Lineman.  At the same time, it's not Coach Shanny's style to cut a starter and they appreciate the continuity on the line. 

I also see Gettis making a push against Chester later this year.  If Pashos can fend off 'Rak attacks during training camp, he wins over Compton to start the year.  The more likely Cousins starts or RG3 starts pocket passing, the more they need Pashos over Polumbus and Compton.

LaRibeus took a step back after his numerous 7 course meals during the offseason (a six pack and a mega-burger).

TE -  Davis, Paulsen, Paul, Reed. 

Rationale -  Patriots offense here we dabble.  Niles Paul will have a breakout year.  He is one of the most underrated Redskins on the team.  I'm growing to like the Reed pick more and more as I see how the WR's were totally manhandled by Seattle.

WR -  Garcon, Morgan, Hankerson, Moss, Robinson, and a 6th receiver to be determined.

Rationale - Even though Niles Paul and Jordan Reed are TE's that are really WR's as well, I think the Redskins still try to keep 6 WRs.  The reason is we all remember how horrible they looked for 3 quarters against the Seahawks in the playoffs and how awful they all were against the Steelers.  A strong healthy showing from Helu will kill the 6th WR position.

All the existing wide receivers will look better this year either due to health (Morgan, Garcon), improvement at the game (Hankerson, Robinson), QB play improvement (Moss - he was open SO MANY times and RG3 rarely got to that read - that changes this year) and due to the entire offense gelling better their second year together.

I think Robinson needs yet another year to really break out, but he will be much better and hopefully the Shanahan's use him more this year.  I get the suspicion that Robinson is like the dumb blonde of the bunch - the most beautiful to watch but dumb as a doornail (I hate to say it, he's one of my favorite players and I hope it isn't true).  If that's true, he'll need yet another year to really know the playbook and routes and learn a few juke moves.  Nonetheless, people forget how incredibly strong he is - there is no reason he can't block and be on the field and targeted much more this year.  But don't expect him to chew gum, be a WR and learn to be a kickoff returner at the same time.

Whoever the 6th receiver is, he will be one of the inconsistent leftovers who will not drop a pass during training camp or the preseason games.  Again, the 6th receiver is competing directly against Helu for a roster spot.  New Special Teams Coach Burns will also have a big say - if the 6th receiver is a special teams return beast, he's in.

The offensive roster needs to be relatively trim to make room for Chase Minnifield and a possible return from Tanard Jackson.  Special teams is also a wildcard here if Potter is added for kickoffs and/or a return specialist is added.

Total:  23 - 25 Roster Players.

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Can Donte' Stallworth and Devery Handerson rescue Redskins receivers?

Written by Anthony Brown on .

Redskins sign Donte Stallworth

Caption: Donte' Stallworth rejoins the Redskins.

I learned in the I/T business that when you upgrade one part of a computer system, you expose the next weakness in that system. That is the state of the Washington Redskins today. With fixes perhaps in place in the secondary and improved health of defensive players, the Redskins must do something about its next area of weakness, wide receivers.

Hog Heaven covered the topic a few days ago when we ranked Washington's receivers third-best in the division (see Cowboys receivers are most beast of the NFC East). That story didn't get much play among Redskins fans, although it got a lot of hits from Texas. The coaching staff is not ignoring the issue. They have made some moves.

The front office went to the local rent-a-receiver store and checked out Devery Henderson and Donte' Stallworth. Henderson spent his entire career with the New Orleans Saints. The well travelled Stallworth sold his talents to six teams, including the Redskins in 2011 (22 Recs, 2 TDs). Both players are over age 30. Both must be considered journeymen on the downward arc of their career.

Hog Heaven does not look for both to make the final roster. Nor would either of them force a defensive coordinator to game plan them. Of receivers now on the roster, Aldrick Robinson appears on paper to be most vulnerable to losing his spot to one of them.

The coaches might suspect that Santana Moss has lost a step. I have to see that to believe it. Moss turned 34 on June 1. (Happy belated birthday, 'Tana.) He has been far more productive than Henderson and Stallworth. I'd like to see him on the team for sentimental reasons  and to continue to mentor young players. Moss seems to do things the right way.

The Redskins have looked for 1000-yard receivers since the Hogs days. Sometimes, we got lucky with a Henry Ellard who found new life in Washington, or with Albert Connell who had one real hot season. The team has not had a true No. 2 receiver since Rod Gardner. Who would have thought we would miss Gardner?

Maybe Robinson and Hankerson will grow into legitimate No. 2 wide-outs. If not, Stallworth or Henderson might be stopgaps.  If both Stallworth and Henderson make the roster, we are in real trouble at wide receiver.

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Divine Intervention: Patriots sign Tim Tebow

Written by Anthony Brown on .

Tim Tebow, Denver Broncos

Some stories about other teams are just too good to pass up!

It reads like the start of a bad joke. "A duck goes into a bar and orders a drink."

A priest, a rabbi a duck and Tim Tebow walk in to the New England Patriots and ask for a football. Bill Belichick looks up and says, "What is this. A joke?"

But seriously folks, SI.com reports that the Patriots have already signed free agent quarterback Tim Tebow and expect him to be in mandatory minicamp tomorrow.

The last time Belichick and the Patriots saw Tebow in game action was the Divisional Playoff Round following the 2011 season. The Patriots walloped the Tebow-Broncos 43-10 to end Denver's magical season. The Broncos closed the regular season with a three-game losing streak. The Pats kicked off that streak by beating the Broncos at home 41-23.

Belichick, or OC Mike McCoy, must see something in Tebow. I wish I knew what that is.

The move does not threaten Tom Brady nor, I suspect, back-up QB Ryan Mallett. New England is very concerned about the health of TE Rob Gronkowski. Has Tebow finally agreed to switch to tight end to extend his career?

No one has ever seen Tebow catch a ball in a game, so that idea could be another joke. It's no joke that there is something magic about Tebow that just might be Divine. An earlier story on the  This Given Sunday blog reported that the New York Jets could be in trouble at quarterback. The entertainment just keeps rolling from the AFC East.

Bloggers love this. We aren't above trolling for readers. These stories just keep writing themselves.  And the best part is that it doesn't involve the Redskins.     

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Robert Griffin III captured on video running, sort of

Written by Anthony Brown on .

Why do they always show these quarterbacks RUNNING? Because video football LOVES a running quarterback, that's why.

This video trailer shows game action from Madden 25. It features Adrian Peterson, Russell Wilson and Robert Griffin III, of course.

Hail
 

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Is Jawan Jamison the Redskins' next Alfred Morris?

Written by Scott Hirsch on .

Redskins 2013 7th-Round Draft pick, Jawan Jamison (Rutgers)

Jawan Jamison is in many ways another Alfred Morris-like story waiting to happen.

Whereas Alfred Morris is a slower model of Walter Payton, Jawan Jamison is a slower Barry Saunders knock-off model.   

At 5'7" 200 pounds, this guy is a powerful small package.  What I like best about him is his one-cut running, his ability to juke defenders in the open field, his ability to stay hidden behind the offensive line until it's too late, and the fact that the only way you can tackle him is by the ankles or a gang tackle.  I believe he is faster than his 40 time suggests, especially given that his last year in school he ran with ankle problems.

Here's how he compares to Alfred:

1) Likeability and heart ‒ you want a guy the offensive line likes and is ready to die for.  That was the John Riggins lesson.  While Alfred is as likeable a football player as it gets, Jamison left school for the pros to help support his sick mom.  That puts him in a rare class.  

For me, every single Alfred Morris run is like watching a Rocky movie - pure heart and determination against the odds.  Jamison isn't quite like that, but he is on a great mission that isn't far off. 

2) Durability ‒ Jamison is pretty solid.  I don't know of too many 5'7" guys that bench 220 pounds 20 times.  The key point of his durability is that Chris Thompson and Roy Helu are not guys you give the rock 20 plus times a game.  Jamison is really the only legitimate durable Morris backup in the mix, that's why he makes the team (plus we will see him run 100 yard plus games in the preseason).

3) Screen game/passing game ‒ Jamison is great for screen passes out the backfield (though note the Redskins, except on bootlegs, were horrible at screen passes last year).  He's also a great blocker and can even pass the ball.

Jamison is a faster runner than Alfred Morris.  

Where Jamison will suffer is that he is relatively easy to tackle in the backfield.  That is the weakness of his game and he will be dependent upon the total effectiveness of the offensive line off the line.  We are spoiled by Alfred Morris in his ability to almost always break the first tackle so we did not have to watch him get tackled in the backfield.

Of course the biggest weakness for Jamison breaking out is that Alfred is already on the team, so his carries will be limited in comparison.  Don't be surprised to see Jamison moving the chains 20 plus yards at a time a couple times a game, which is a gigantic success by any standard and would make him an Alfred Morris story in his own right.
 

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Cowboys receivers are most Beast of the NFC East

Written by Anthony Brown on .

Dez Bryant, Dallas Cowboys

 

The reputation of the Beast was born in the 1980s through mid-‘90s when Super Bowls were won by the San Francisco 49ers and whoever won the NFC East.

That was oh so last century. The NFC Beast is still considered a competitive division. The New York Giants restored some of its luster, but no one calls the Beast toughest in the league anymore.

Every Beast team has questionable secondaries. Its O-lines are not the muscular, dominant units of Gibbs and Parcells. There’s one other area where NFC East teams are not so beastly – wide receiver.

Long time Hog Heaven readers are familiar with our 6-7-8-9-10-11 benchmark for evaluating receiving corps. It’s a memory device for measuring a team’s No. 2 and the No. 1 receiver. The benchmark applies to wide receivers only. Tight ends do not count

The benchmark order is Receptions-Touchdowns-Yards. A No. 2 wide-out should deliver 60 catches, seven touchdowns and 800 yards for his team. The No. 1 receiver should deliver 90 catches, 10 TDs and 1,100 yards. The more overage, the better the performance. The greater the shortfall, the poorer the performance.

Hog Heaven took a second look at the 2012 stats for NFC East receivers. Well, what else is there to do between the NFL Draft and training camp?

To go by the 6-7-8-9-10-11 benchmark, NFC East receivers were not very beastly, with one exception. Dez Bryant delivered the best Cowboys receiver performance since Terrell Owens in 2007. The 13-3 Cowboys won the division (and then were ambushed by the Giants in route to a Super Bowl win).   

Bryant’s growth makes Dallas the biggest threat to Washington’s defense of its division crown.

Duck and cover.

Hog Heaven readers are gagging over that one sentence. I understand, but Dallas stands out in performance against the benchmark. It takes only a modest projection for the 2013 season to see the Cowboys passing game as the division’s most formidable, especially against Beastly secondaries.

Bill Belichick’s two tight end sets are changing the passing game. Former Broncos GM Ted Sundquist wrote that teams began to upgrade tight ends because they presented better value as receivers than wide receivers. So Hog Heaven is throwing in raw stats for tight ends, but not measuring them against the benchmark. Tight ends are icing on the cake. There still must be cake. Here’s a synopsis of NFC East receivers against the benchmark.

Dallas Cowboys

PLAYER

REC

TDS

YDS

REC

TDS

YDS

REC

TDS

YDS

 

6

7

8

9

10

11

--

--

--

M. Austin

66

6

943

 

 

 

 

 

 

D. Bryant

 

 

 

92

12

1382

 

 

 

J. Witten (TE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

110

3

1039

    

Dez Bryant’s refusal to carry Roy Williams helmet during his rookie preseason always troubled me. Whatever his potential, Williams hadn’t paid his dues to refuse the Cowboys initiation into their football family. Bryant was clearly drafted to replace Williams who would carry his under-performance to the Bears. Ironically, it was Bryant’s family assault charge that might have cleared his head.

It took something big to make the point to Bryant. Assaulting your mother is never excusable, but Bryant’s background is uniquely troubling. He twisted his head straight just in time to have a monster season. Bryant is the only Beast receiver to hit the No. 1 benchmarks (9-10-11). Miles Austin hit the No. 2 benchmarks.

How dare Hog Heaven call TE Jason Witten the Cowboys’ weak point when he caught 110 passes, 73 percent of the balls thrown to him. Well, three touchdowns out of 150 attempts to him is failure of the first order. No wonder Tony Romo will have a larger voice in forming game plans and OC Bill Callahan will call the plays.

We aren’t awarding the division to Dallas, but we don’t think Bryant’s performance is a fluke. A Cowboys improvement over their 8-8 record is easily achievable.    

New York Giants

Giants receivers Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks

PLAYER

REC

TDS

YDS

REC

TDS

YDS

REC

TDS

YDS

 

6

7

8

9

10

11

--

--

--

H. Nicks

53

3

692

 

 

 

 

 

 

V. Cruz

 

 

 

86

10

1092

 

 

 

M. Bennett (TE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

55

5

626

 

Sez here that Victor Cruz wants to be paid like a No. 1 receiver, but that the Giants consider Hakeem Nicks No. 1 and they want to pay Cruz like the No. 2 man. The Giants better take a second look at the chart above.

Only Robert Griffin III’s knee is more questionable within the division than Nicks’ knee. Nicks barely met some of the benchmarks for a No. 1 in 2010 and 2011. He was short of the No. 2 benchmarks last season. When Nicks is healthy and on his game, he and Cruz may be the best one-two punch of all Beast receivers. Knees and hands are the two big question marks about him.

The Giants run a good organization. They have talent to seize the division when rivals fail. Hog Heaven expects they will resolve contract issues for both players. We don’t see Nicks wasting his contract year either. That’s good news for the Giants, bad news to the division.

Washington Redskins

Redskins receiver Santana Moss

Santana Moss, Photo credit: Ed Sheahin, Twitter: @NFLSkins

PLAYER

REC

TDS

YDS

REC

TDS

YDS

REC

TDS

YDS

 

6

7

8

9

10

11

--

--

--

S. Moss

41

8

573

 

 

 

 

 

 

P. Garćon

 

 

 

44

4

673

 

 

 

F. Davis (TE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

24

0

325

   

Santana Moss shall go down as one of the greatest Redskins receivers in history, but shouldn’t Leonard Hankerson or Joshua Morgan show up as No. 2 instead of Moss? Yes. Yes they should have. Therein lays our quandary.

Washington won the division with the 20th-ranked passing offense in yards. Yards aren’t the complete story. The Redskins tied for 13th for passing scores, in good company with the 49ers, Seahawks and Ravens. Robert Griffin III made everyone, including the coaches, look better. The ball-control ground game hid shortfalls in the receiving corps. Defenses will adjust. They always do.

Washington’s top two receivers failed the Hog Heaven benchmark. Yes, injuries took their toll, but when you project Pierre Garćon’s stats to a full year’s performance, the numbers (70 receptions, 6 TDs, 1012 yards) are still short of the benchmark. At least Garćon shows better on video than on paper. If Moss again shows up as the second best receiver, something is seriously wrong with the rest of the receiving corps.

Roll Fred Davis’ and Logan Paulsen’s stats together and you match Brent Celek’s (Phi) performance. Tight end performance is not part of this benchmark, but that’s where the Redskins can make up for shortfalls elsewhere. We are waiting for a true breakout season by Fred Davis. This has to be the year.

Philadelphia Eagles

Eagles receiver DeSean Jackson

PLAYER

REC

TDS

YDS

REC

TDS

YDS

REC

TDS

YDS

 

6

7

8

9

10

11

--

--

--

D. Jackson

45

2

700

 

 

 

 

 

 

J. Macklin

 

 

 

69

7

856

 

 

 

B. Celek (TE)

 

 

 

 

 

 

57

1

684

 

Andy Reid was doomed before the season started. Watching the Eagles slow motion train wreck was painful, and I say that as a Redskins fan. Losing left tackle Jason Peters for the season rolled through the Eagles like diarrhea. They left a trail of stink everywhere.

Nick Foles’ audition matched Michael Vick’s passing performance. That was easy because Vick wasn’t very good. Philly lost 15 rushing touchdowns in 2012 from LeSean McCoy’s 2011 scoring. DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin were far from the dynamic receivers they once were.

Peters is back, but Reid is gone. New head coach Chip Kelly left the Oregon Ducks ahead of NCAA investigations. Neither the Eagles nor their fans care about that. What they want is for Kelly to install that potent offense he employed at Oregon.

He has the tools to do it. Philadelphia’s O-line should be healthier if nothing else. Kelly can make the most of Shady McCoy. We don’t know his choice for quarterback, but Kelly is a second chance, of sorts, for Vick.

Neither Dan Reeves nor Jim Mora could transform Vick into a pro passer. The Falcons imported college coach Bobby Petrino to install a college offense Vick could run. Vick’s midnight hobby, the real reason he failed with Reeves and Mora, caught up with him. He never had the chance to run Petrino’s offense.

Enter another college coach and Vick gets another crack at that situation. Or not. Kelly saw Foles in the PAC-12, usually during Oregon’s kick-butt wins over Arizona. Vick and Foles split time with the first team during the OTAs. Either Kelly hasn’t made his choice about quarterback, or he’s following the Jets’ lead and sending a message to last year’s starter, and to everyone else (Looking at you, DeSean Jackson).

That makes it impossible to project anything about Eagles receivers before preseason. Kelly has to show his his scheme, pick a quarterback, mix in the run game, which will be different than Reid’s run-pass mix, and then he must jiggle pass distribution to the receivers.

Philadelphia’s receivers are capable, but there are too many moving parts to guess how much better they might be, or how much time they need to do it. That’s why I ranked them last.

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4 things I wish Donovan McNabb would tell Robert Griffin III

Written by Anthony Brown on .

Donovan McNabb, Redskins
The DC Twitterverse laughed when word reached us that Donovan McNabb wanted to reach out to Redskins quarterback Robert Griffin III to offer advice. That struck Hog Heaven as too much TMZ to worry about. We left it alone.

Then we saw this story on Philly.com, Last thing RGIII needs is McNabb’s advice.

McNabb’s career ended badly, but nothing is more pathetic than to have the online version of The Philadelphia Inquirer tell one of Philly’s greatest sports stars to, well, stfu.

McNabb wants to share lessons in media savvy with RGIII. Griffin III has two things McNabb never had, a pass completion rate of 65.6 percent, and charisma. Griffin is rewriting all the rules. He does not need lessons from McNabb in savvy-ness. (Yeah, made-up word.)

However, there are things about football I wish McNabb would share with Griffin. Here’s the list.

How to manage the transition from running quarterback to passing quarterback?

Once, McNabb was the quarterback sensation who had 80 rushing attempts per season. He was the Eagles leading rusher in 2000, his first full season as starting QB. Fantasy football loves running quarterbacks. Fantasy owners get full points for a rushing touchdown than for passing TDs in most scoring systems. Most quarterbacks do not score rushing touchdowns. Quarterbacks who run score more fantasy points than those who do not. They are labeled “electrifying.”

In real life, quarterbacks who pass from the pocket lead their teams to Super Bowls. McNabb attempted a mere 41 rushes in 2004, the year he led Philadelphia to the Super Bowl. He rushed 71 times in the prior season.

What football advice would McNabb give RG – we are on a first name basis – on how to maximize his potential as a dual-threat?

How would you talk to Mike Shanahan?

McNabb was not successful at managing his boss, Mike Shanahan. We learn from our mistakes. What did McNabb learn in Washington that could help both Griffin and Shanahan forge a successful partnership?

I found it odd for McNabb to criticize RGJr for speaking out against the run-pass mix the Redskins called for RGIII. Didn’t McNabb’s agent do the same when Shanahan demoted McNabb to third-string? If McNabb shared his thoughts with us, his agent might not have spoken out. It led to problems, however.  McNabb may have had that in mind when speaking about Griffin’s dad.

Somewhere between the 2010 Detroit and Cincinnati game, communication between the coach and McNabb broke down, for which Hog Heaven held both sides accountable. How would Donovan do things differently and what does that tell Griffin?

How do you control the locker room?

Team captain Griffin has no problem in that area … now. McNabb was just as in charge of the Eagles’ locker room early last decade, until the arrival of Terrell Owens.

Griffin and McNabb have backgrounds very similar to my own – black, two-parent, very middle class with similar non-confrontational coping styles. Owens, like many of today’s athletes, grew up in less fortunate circumstances.  African-American players with such backgrounds sometimes view their brothers with McNabb’s middle class backgrounds as inauthentic – “cornbread,” if you will.

Terrible Owens was an emotionally needy personality who publicly acted out his frustrations with the Eagles and pointed fingers at McNabb. Owens did not divide the Eagles locker room as much as you think. Owens divided the front office. He had supporters in the locker room. I had the hunch that more Eagles players rallied around Owens than McNabb.    

The front office mishandled that crisis. The flub was costly to Owens, McNabb and the Eagles. Owens and McNabb were each other’s best chance to return to the Super Bowl.

The Redskins will be a destination team for free agents in future years. Some of them will be head cases who feel no kinship to RGIII. There is a Terrible Owens in Griffin’s future. What then, Donovan?

You completed passes to those guys?

McNabb and the Eagles had a top-ten passing year in 2008, the last time McNabb completed a 16-game season. He did that throwing to the likes of Hank Baskett and Jason Avant. Even DeSean Jackson’s 62-catch season fell short for a No. 1 wide-out. McNabb elevated the play of his receivers in a way that did not happen when he was in Washington or Minnesota.

Griffin elevated the play of everybody in 2012, especially Washington’s pedestrian receiver corps. If Leonard Hankerson and Joshua Morgan do not step up this season, Griffin will have to do it again and again. McNabb did that for most of his career. What’s his secret?

Everybody wants to “help”

Rex Grossman was happy to re-sign with Washington so that he could mentor Griffin and Kirk Cousins. That made me cringe. McNabb wanted to reach out to Griffin to advise him on how to manage the media. That made me laugh. If John Beck calls in to help Griffin, I will probably kick the dog.

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